What are the chances of the CCP's special forces attacking Taiwan with aircraft drop quickly?

At the beginning of the new year, Chinese leader Xi Jinping signed the Military Commission's Order No. 1, issuing a mobilization order to the entire PLA. Chinese media later released a video of the PLA Army's opening training, showing that the special operations personnel took a helicopter to land quickly. Coincidentally, a professor at the U.S. Naval War College also mentioned in an article in the U.S. media not long ago that the real problem facing Taiwan lies in the Chinese special operations forces, calling on Taiwan not to "mistake the focus." The Taiwan general said that the CCP’s operations against Taiwan are nothing more than two forms of “full-scale attack” or “quick attack”. It is estimated that at least 12,000 combat troops of the CCP can perform helicopter landings, and it uses this method of surprise attack” The possibility of "Fighting and Winning Taiwan" does exist.

On January 4, Chinese leader Xi Jinping signed the Central Military Commission's Order No. 1, 2022, issuing a mobilization order to the entire army, announcing the start of military training in 2022.

According to Xinhua News Agency, Xi Jinping asked the entire army to pay close attention to changes in science and technology, changes in warfare, and changes in opponents, vigorously promote the coupling of combat training, system training, and technology training, comprehensively promote the transformation and upgrading of military training, and train elite soldiers who can fight well. , and to carry forward the fighting spirit of not being afraid of hardship and fear of death, "to welcome the victory of the Party's 20th National Congress with high spirits and first-class training results."

Some commented that the order of the Central Military Commission this time focuses on internal struggle. The CCP leaders will turn the army’s goal inward in 2022, always ready to fire on internal enemies, which is also a warning to the anti-Xi factions before the 20th National Congress.

Military Commission Order No. 1 emphasizes both inside and outside

However, in an interview with VOA, Lieutenant General Zhang Yanting, the first general of the Taiwan National Army with the qualification of a full professor and former deputy commander of the Air Force, said that the CCP's No. 1 Military Commission Order this year was "double emphasis on internal and external", and Xi Jinping did not mention maintaining stability, nor did he When it comes to Taiwan independence forces, and the generals of the People's Liberation Army who have been promoted in the past ten years have been approved by him, they should be very obedient. Therefore, Xi is sitting firmly in the position of chairman of the Central Military Commission and wants to play down the power struggle; externally, he regards the United States as an opponent, The focus is on keeping pace with the U.S. military, because the CCP knows very well that to control the United States is to seize Taiwan.

Zhang Yanting said that the change in technology refers to the rapid development of electromagnetic guns, hypersonic missiles, etc., and the future battlefield will use a lot of drones and AI artificial intelligence to replace some real soldiers; the change of war means that the rhythm of war will become faster. , it will no longer be a traditional ground war, but a dense fire network constructed by large-scale and precise rocket launchers; the "opponent" of the opponent's change mainly refers to the United States, and the United States has drawn many allies vertically and horizontally. Stand with it and fight against China

He said that the friendly relationship between the United States and Taiwan is becoming more and more mesa, including the US Congress overwhelmingly voted to invite Taiwan to participate in the 2022 Pacific Rim military exercise, not afraid to step on the red line of the CCP. Now it talks about having advisers in Taiwan, training Taiwan's special operations, and inviting Taiwan's reserve and American national soldiers. Cooperation, this is the qualitative change of the opponent."

Analysts said that in response to changes in the general environment such as changes in opponents, changes in technology and changes in warfare, the PLA's combat mode has also changed.

After Xi Jinping issued the No. 1 order of the Military Commission in 2022, the Chinese media Xinhua News Agency released the 81st PLA Army headquartered in Zhangjiakou City, Hebei Province under the title "Spot Attack! Army Training, New Combat Forces Moulting Upgrade" A picture of the mobilization of an army aviation brigade of the group army. According to reports, more than 30 war eagles have successively completed courses such as early fire strikes and aggressive battles. Another special forces personnel took 8 transport helicopters of a certain type to the target area, lowered the ropes, and quickly descended to the depth of the enemy to infiltrate and destroy them. The ground assault team attacked back and forth to seize the key points.

Coincidentally, the US media "Business Insider" (Business Insider) published an article on January 3 by Lyle Goldstein, a professor at the US Naval War College, with the headline: "Stop counting warships, China's special operations forces are Taiwan's real problem" ( Stop counting warships. China's special-operations forces are Taiwan's real problem .), calling on Taiwan not to draw the wrong focus on defense.

The article mentioned that although the Liaoning battle group and the Type 075 amphibious assault ship "Guangxi" were included in the East China Sea Fleet, both are important milestones for the PLA Navy, but large warships are not needed to attack Taiwan, because the width and distance of the Taiwan Strait are not large. To 100 miles (about 160 kilometers), instead, China's large number of well-trained special assault forces can create chaos, close roads and attack political and military points in the operation against Taiwan, while ensuring that Chinese troops can safely disembark from the beach to the key highlands of Taiwan , airports and ports, this is what Taiwan should pay more attention to. The commentary also said that amphibious tanks were never the decisive factor in beach attacks, instead air power was the decisive factor.

Ou Zhaowei, a researcher affiliated with the Institute of China Studies at the University of Malaya, told VOA that the PLA has always had various combat modes that directly attack military and political organs. Such a trend can be seen in all kinds of exercises. In general, descending into the enemy's depths is still an extension of the PLA's "spotting, town and beheading" methods, but it is more diverse and flexible. In the past, they used ordinary airborne troops. Now the PLA has more elite troops in training. Therefore, it is normal for China to think about how to use them in operations in the Taiwan Strait.